Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.162122 0.184907 0.210279 0.240721 0.276377 0.316967 0.366882
2025-12-14 0.125579 0.155541 0.192264 0.241002 0.304610 0.385669 0.498165
2025-12-21 0.103965 0.136584 0.179432 0.240711 0.327530 0.448329 0.633071
2025-12-28 0.091325 0.125770 0.173625 0.246405 0.356874 0.522605 0.798627
2026-01-04 0.081348 0.116495 0.167662 0.249646 0.381700 0.593358 0.973911
2026-01-11 0.073618 0.109063 0.162820 0.253028 0.406299 0.667260 1.171147
2026-01-18 0.068040 0.103961 0.160517 0.259577 0.436542 0.755702 1.416166
2026-01-25 0.062314 0.097800 0.155530 0.260545 0.456747 0.829555 1.651951
2026-02-01 0.057251 0.092056 0.150384 0.260228 0.474149 0.901016 1.901845
2026-02-08 0.052525 0.086311 0.144464 0.257485 0.486139 0.963632 2.149441
2026-02-15 0.048338 0.081026 0.138693 0.254094 0.496047 1.023552 2.408060
2026-02-22 0.045955 0.078663 0.137887 0.260151 0.526528 1.135147 2.833197
2026-03-01 0.042425 0.073930 0.132260 0.255962 0.534635 1.198170 3.153390
2026-03-08 0.039896 0.070816 0.129399 0.257175 0.555332 1.297111 3.615691
2026-03-15 0.037479 0.067675 0.126130 0.257027 0.572819 1.392185 4.104399
2026-03-22 0.035941 0.066077 0.125758 0.263202 0.606864 1.540152 4.831082
2026-03-29 0.034278 0.064069 0.124314 0.266706 0.634841 1.678614 5.589499
2026-04-05 0.032770 0.062229 0.123016 0.270358 0.663958 1.828530 6.466577
2026-04-12 0.031662 0.061106 0.123130 0.277430 0.703885 2.023510 7.633296
2026-04-19 0.030166 0.059036 0.120944 0.278476 0.727034 2.171238 8.681635
2026-04-26 0.028689 0.056881 0.118351 0.278133 0.746146 2.311353 9.781469
2026-05-03 0.027149 0.054464 0.114928 0.275171 0.756856 2.425441 10.826970
2026-05-10 0.025686 0.052100 0.111411 0.271509 0.764809 2.532422 11.909715